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Prediction for CME (2026-06-03T01:53:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2026-06-03T01:53ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/46585/-1 CME Note: CME first seen to the E in STEREO A COR2 starting at 2026-06-03T01:53Z. It is also faintly seen as a halo to the NW in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 but is partially obscured by the pylon. It is also seen as a halo to the NW in GOES CCOR-1. This CME is associated with an M9.3 class flare from AR 14455 (N13W10) that peaked at 2026-06-03T01:36Z. The flare can best be seen in SDO AIA 131. L1 arrival is likely to be 3 merged CMES 2026-06-03T11:48Z, 2026-06-03T07:23Z, 026-06-03T01:53Z. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2026-06-05T04:23Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-06-05T04:00Z Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC) Prediction Method Note: KSWC ENLIL settings: ENLIL version: 2.7e Resolution: low (256x30x90) Ambient settings: a5b1 WSA version: 2.2 CME input parameters Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2026-06-03 05:20 Radial velocity (km/s): 772.6 Longitude (deg): 11.8 Latitude (deg): 10.4 Half-angular width (deg): 25.5 Notes:Lead Time: 26.67 hour(s) Difference: 0.38 hour(s) Prediction submitted by RWC KSWC (KASA) on 2026-06-04T01:43Z |
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